Author name: Shubranshu Singh

The Comforts of Herding

Onida, a once successful Indian consumer electronics brand had a claim “Neighbour’s envy, Owner’s pride” .They got it right. We always want what the neighbours have, or better. I have gone on record in several published articles to state that the sociology of brands has been deliberately neglected and ignored. The economic value of brands and the importance of consumer psychology receive far more attention. After half a century of trying to get consumers to prefer brands for rational reasons, marketers are realising Daniel Kahneman was right when he said that “Thinking is to humans as swimming is to cats”. What he meant was that humans can think when obliged to but they’d much rather not. Thinking is not a natural condition. [siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Image_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget] Every consumer decision is essentially a spontaneous, emotional, unthinking, impulsive decision. The process leading to it may be interspersed by a logical, rational, measured, comparative input but nevertheless it is the servant, not the master. Nudge based interventions have received tremendous research attention because corporations realise that merely gaining traction through mental and physical availability is no longer enough. They see that to truly extract Consumer lifetime value, it is required to understand “behavioural economics”. The profound challenge is to change behaviour at a social scale. How does a society adopt habits, behaviours, values? My answer is they do so through copying others. Homo sapiens are fundamentally pro-social. Marketers must therefore develop sociological understanding. Consumption is an individual activity and a social activity at the exact same time. We are socially influenced in our behaviour as consumers. Our conventions, norms, cultural preferences are entirely shaped through social emulation. Our behaviour is guided socially. It is only natural that brands emerge in this way. Social norm is the mother’s milk for brands to be nourished with. Take the example of drinking alcohol, smoking tobacco, applying makeup, using electronic payments, eating cereal with cold milk – in each of these examples – consumption amongst Indian consumers has been shaped and directed by social acceptance. How have we Indians adopted Halloween, Mother’s Day, and Valentine ’s Day? We have eagerly copied others. At a restaurant we make our choices from a menu but we also inevitably see what other people are eating. That shapes our choice. We assume that the social majority has already done the pre-work. We go with the majority because we presume, they have done the ‘cost-return’ arithmetic already. We feel safer ‘with the herd’. Mass adoption and popularity are linked. There is collectivism in how a society determines the popularity ofnames, colours, moods or fashion. There are a few pioneers who introduce it to many more adopters andthen most others follow and simply copy. Why were so many Indian boys named Amit, Anuj, Deepak or Navin say, in the 1980s? Why did these names then fizzle away in terms of popularity? Who decided their popularity or their subsequent expiration? When making choices for insurance, mutual funds or automobiles why do we imagine that we have the expertise to make a good judgement even though we rely on others for information or understanding? This explains how individual understanding nevertheless get anchored in social choice. Human beings are special not only because we think but because we are the only species that ‘thinks about thinking’. Still, we are happy to outsource our thinking and rely on shallow processing rather than deliberate thinking. Our shortcut to thinking is copying the choices made by others. Amazon, Netflix and many other new economy giants perfectly understood these basic attributes to do a sharp definition of segments and predict consumer choices. “People who like ABC also like XYZ “ that is a powerful consumer truth to deduce. Mankind has relied on social action. Theoretically, much knowledge may reside in my head, yet I depend on the expertise and knowledge application on part of others. We seldom take our own medicine. But Marketing is an empirically validated practice. Results must pave the way for rules. The ability to shape behaviour creates value for brands. The highest valued brands are those that can create habit. The easiest way to do measurable behavioural change is by seeding it to become a social norm. Once there is social adoption, individual adoption is guaranteed. Cognitive reflection is a discipline. That’s why low willpower makes consumers go with the group. Herding is a weakness . Herding is a call to abandon thinking and prefer feeling. Man has taken comfort in being with the herd and the gene pool has rewarded conformism. But great progress demands cutting away from the beliefs that make us feel comfortable. We need mental energy to think and keep thinking.

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The future of brand connection is magical, here’s why

For many marketers, data is just a four-letter word. They believe that continuous analysis and the demand for a scientific basis for marketing action will squeeze and kill art and inspiration. In all parts of the ‘brand-consumer interaction’, a massive change has occurred. Thanks to data and what is done with it, the focus has changed from “how does it work?” to “how does it feel?” Concurrently, technology has made great strides in the understanding of the human brain. There is much greater evidence-based confirmation of how conscious processing and subconscious emotions play a role in our decision making. We are more knowledgeable about how the brain perceives the outside world. We can map how memory works. Nevertheless, it is still inconclusive. No universal rules have been framed. Nothing is definitively predictable. The human mind appears messy and irrational. It operates via abstraction and is reliant on an awareness that lurks mostly below conscious levels. [siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Image_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget] But this should not deter marketers. In fact, it should encourage us to know that there are deep, hidden and dormant aspects to our mental processes where science can meet art. We should recognise that brand building, advertising, marketing research and product innovation are all partners in an enterprise where outcomes are probabilistic. The brain is unconscious, lazy, emotionally charged and irrational. Creativity can use this and even exploit it. Science can monitor its effectiveness and discover more such opportunities. In 2016, the word ‘post-truth’ was included in the Oxford English dictionary, a comment on the lure of semi-fact or fiction. Search marketing has turned consumer interaction into a ‘surveillance first’ operation. But in combination with social media, it has also inaugurated an era of transparency. More information is available on everything than ever before. Still, the presumption that with this abundant information consumers will make more rational decisions and opt for more considered purchasing is simply not true. Rationality requires the hard work of thinking. It demands being above one’s biases. This is an exceedingly difficult thing for humans to do. Consumers have become ‘cognitive misers’ with this very overload of information. Consumers don’t merely buy brands, they ‘buy into brands‘. In 1999, Robert Heath pioneered work on ‘Low Involvement Processing’. A purchase decision is the outcome of interactions with deeply ingrained brand associations rather than a rational processing of active, top-of-the-mind information. The big idea was that our relatively passive processing is nonetheless powerful. Of course, the more serious the investment the more one forces oneself to research, compare and consider the purchase. Categories such as real estate, automotive, travel and high-end consumer electronics are obvious examples. Nevertheless, even here, it is a matter of degrees. Brands that engage emotionally are more likely to succeed simply because of the limited amounts of active attention consumers pay to brand messages. The role of emotion will need to flow from consumer facing content to the entire gamut of activities right down to the final sale. This must now include online engagement and e-commerce as well. The line separating brand experience and transactional experience has been erased. Every interaction with a brand is remembered for its emotive value and not because of the guaranteed transactional outcomes. How can we infuse every touchpoint with emotion? Begin by seeing emotion in every experience—store design, feel and finish, in-store environment including lighting, music, fragrance, brand events, community gatherings, personnel etc. All of these create emotional impact leading to “how it felt?” The world of brands and commerce is being organised around the mobile phone, as the gateway to the internet. It is amongst the most personal and emotionally significant devices we own and every waking hour, our identity is shaped by it. There is no option. Brands have to deal with the rise of ubiquitous and invisible technology and we have to infuse every touchpoint with emotion. Technology has moved beyond the sheer experience of novelty. It is now an immersion and not an interface. Technology will become invisible and therefore, the entire language of interaction with technology is naturally on the cusp of a transformation. I will end by quoting Clarke’s law which states that “Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic”.  Abracadabra, the future is here! https://www.forbesindia.com/blog/technology/the-future-of-brand-connection-is-magical-heres-why/

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Continuity, not consistency is the hallmark of great brands

There has been a rapid globalisation of demand and an ongoing expansion of brand turf across industries. As a result, one area of brand thinking has become exaggerated in scope and practice. I am referring to the emphasis on consistency, sameness and immutability. My area of interest is brand sociology. In sociological terms, continuity beats consistency. I concede that consistency is the bedrock of a brand’s promise in so far as it relates to expected, reliable performance. But, it needn’t imply being unchanging or immutable. Consistency is not about absolute predictability. It is indisputable that branding, in the social sense, is created by the chemistry between consumers and creators of culture. There are several storytellers such as the consumers themselves, the company, idea mavens, media channels, critics and influencers. Put together, their output leads to a unified idea of a brand. [siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Image_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget] A brand’s reason to be, what it does ,and how it communicates it, shapes a brand’s sense of continuity. It must be able to provide for a wide margin of change, adaptation and ongoing evolution. Fixation is not a formula for surviving. It is definitely not a prescription for thriving. Porsche 911, Mini Cooper and Land Rover—these three iconic automotive brands have preserved continuity while evolving through the years. One has to appreciate the it in the Porsche 911—be it the silhouette, proportions, design philosophy, rear engine placement—all of this has been kept intact to convey a lineage and a DNA that is evidently manifest. At auto shows, through its advertisements and via cooperation of hundreds of adorer clubs, Porsche 911 has made its position ‘rare but accessible’. It is high-performance, yet usable in every day urban living. It is deeply traditional, yet regarded as cutting-edge and innovative. Its engineering has transformed, still the design authenticity is uncorrupted. The exclusivity it enjoys is uncompromised by its growing presence. It is true that brands can be forces of disruption that shift entire generations of consumers to rethink their criteria and beliefs all over again. Apple did it. Tesla is doing so. But it is rare. Truth be told, there is no static idea of the past. The consumer’s active life span is say, five decades. A generation changes every decade or two. The collective and individual process of brand experience is a relay race. No two generation of consumers experience the brand in the same way. As we engage with a brand, our relationship and associations develop all the time. This keeps getting upgraded or downgraded throughout our life cycle as a consumer. At different points in time we pay greater attention and accord greater importance to one or the other set of criteria. Anyone who lived in India before economic liberalisation will understand what “imported brands” or “export quality” meant back then. That is no more the case. Smoking has become largely unacceptable whilst drinking has gained social acceptance. Social media has become the first purveyor of brands. As consumers, we are surrounded by clutter and flashy new news. We seek solidity, anchoring, familiarity. Yet, we also hanker for newness, surprise and enhanced performance A brand that doesn’t evolve, mutate and develop variations in an adaptive sense loses out in terms of functional performance. It erodes perceived differentiation. It also fails to sensitively delight its customers. On the other hand, a brand that changes constantly is unable to establish what it stands for or what its customers should believe in. Novelty by itself is not differentiation. Constancy by itself is not virtue. An obsession with the past matters nothing to consumers if it defeats innovation. Brand owners must neither idolise demand nor glorify design mindlessly. Cultural resistance to change and the inertia that comes from success is a real managerial challenge in brand building. The best way to stay connected with the source of meaningful brand evolution is to be rooted within the customer community. Brands that are close to their respective tribes manage to synthesise the influences from diverse, key stakeholders. Success in the marketplace is an ongoing engagement that allows the brand to flower and emerge to its true potential. “Brands are consistent because they adapt and provide continuity. When you start off as a new brand, you have nothing to lose. When you are at the top, the only competition is yourself” https://www.forbesindia.com/blog/marketing-and-branding/continuity-more-than-consistency-is-the-hallmark-of-great-brands/

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Brand reputation and the unmeasured world of good taste

“Civilisation rests on the fact that we all benefit from knowledge we do not possess” -Fredrich Hayek Brand reputation is an ‘opinion of opinions’. It is ultimately an informational derivation. A brand must confront itself with the reality of how others perceive it. A connected digital world provides access and limitless opportunities to build and use reputation. To do this, a ‘cognitive approach’ is needed for processing reputational feedback. In academic circles this is called the ‘Epistemology of reputation’. It is a critical area for a brand’s evolution. It concerns the mapping and circulation of information. It foretells the construction of social norm. It deciphers what it is that elevates a brand to being a cultural icon. [siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Image_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget] A brand can be an undifferentiated trademark or a cultural icon. When it ascends to higher ground, it defines social norm, constitutes cultural capital and signals ‘taste’. But, what is that thing we call good taste? How do we judge it? Immanuel Kant said taste is an acquired disposition to discriminate and appraise. Acquiring taste as a discriminatory ability cannot be tutored through cognitive sciences. We need experts, tags, labels and rating systems in order to acquire a capacity for discrimination. We may know about good taste from those who know better. When we first come into contact with any new information in unknown domains, our access to facts is limited to the opinions and preferences of others. Inevitably, we rely on word of (relevant) mouth. We look for somebody who knows more about the subject than we do. Of course, new communication technologies have made it very easy for any novice to venture into new domains of knowledge. There are armies of ‘Google gurus’ peddling second hand knowledge. Nevertheless, this is a fundamental and paradigmatic shift in our relationship with knowledge. The more the information, the more the mass of confusion. The more the vested interest, the greater the polarisation and bias injected into the information architecture. Resultantly, there is a ‘heuristics overload’. Brands gain value because they represent a judgement on information that has been sifted, graded, evaluated and commented upon by millions of others. The reputation of a brand therefore is the summative outcome of collective intelligence about the brand and category. It holds a form of knowledge on which we have to rely even when it is processed by others. The way in which the authority of this knowledge is constructed and amplified by brand owners gives us the confidence to swallow it even though it represents a somewhat biased judgement of many others. That’s what luxury does best. Ensure swell reviews by the cognoscenti and popular opinion be damned. The World Wide Web represents a disruptive and radical transformation in our access of knowledge. Because information retrieval systems using search algorithms are based on ranking of information, the web has forever changed the forms, domains and ways in which objects of knowledge are constructed, stored and retrieved. Today, socially decentralised information can achieve intelligent results and therefore the very idea of collective intelligence has entered a new phase. This knowledge is not sitting in some red leather bound encyclopaedia. It is in every interaction from Google searches, Wikipedia entries, e-commerce transactions to the likes /dislikes on a social network. All of it represents a genuine collective intelligence system. Many leading thinkers Shoshana Zuboff, Tim Wu, James Suriwiecki have defended the liberty to produce, unearth, distribute content in unregulated ways. But there are weighty implications for how different designs for capturing collective wisdom may result in different outcomes. The positives of such collectivist judgement include a diversity of opinions, the independence to input and obvious decentralisation. The worrisome negatives potentially include commercial engineering of information, injection of motivated bias and an uneven results architecture. Let us move to an important area of establishing a reputation in matters of taste and aesthetic preference. Which test is reliable? What, if any, can be objective standards in matter of aesthetics? For the beginners, it is easier to take the path to trusting a known authority. Usually such choices in important matters gets inculcated at a younger age. However there are categories where we find adult novices—art, political ideology, real estate, wine and fine dining. As the famous French sociologist Pierre Bourdieu has shown such tastes are often shaped by one’s social context. Nevertheless, novices also learn to discriminate by accessing information, classification systems, values and procedures employed to authenticate their developing impressions. Disturbingly, expertise developed via open source is usually dwarfed expertise. Anthropologist Marie Douglas in her book ‘How Institutions Think’ has pointed out that classification systems tend to be subjected to an irresistible pressure towards simplification. So while the actual market conditions are becoming more complex and differentiation is growing, the outcomes in terms of information processing are becoming simpler, perhaps dumber. This is also how human civilisation grew. A social or cultural tradition is firstly a labelling system distinguishing those who are insiders from those who are outsiders. What is most important is that we should ensure that the collective tools remain open and democratic and improve innovative and accessible ways of selecting knowledge. Culture industries spawn guide books, magazine commentators and influencers. David Hume wrote a famous essay ‘Of the standard of Taste’ where he argued that we need a principle, a rule that allows us to discriminate between good and bad taste. Clearly, in his mind, a true judge is a connoisseur who is competent to make a reasoned judgement and also communicate this to others. To him taste is a delicate sentiment, improved by practice, perfected by comparison and rid of all prejudice. This is, alas, not the way of the internet. Truly, in some cases, less is more and more is less. https://www.forbesindia.com/blog/marketing-and-branding/brand-reputation-and-the-unmeasured-world-of-good-taste/

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How important is a brand’s valuation?

To say that we live in a world of brands is to state the obvious. Recently, the 2020 Interbrand ‘Best Global Brands’ valuation list was announced with the 100 brands at a summative total brand value of $2 trillion. The IPO of Chinese fintech player ant alone drew applications worth $2 trillion. These staggering figures brought brand value and its financial valuation into sharp focus. A brand is an expression of identity.  Brands serve as powerful markers to help consumers express values, display status and generate social personality. Consumers use their interaction with the brand to identify with others and gain admission to a community. [siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Image_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget] Seen from a business lens, branding is a strategic approach and not merely a select set of activities. It is key to creating and maintaining competitive advantage. A brand’s strategy must address key components of value creation such as reputation value, relationship value, experiential value and above all symbolic or cultural value. The economic merit of a brand lies in its reputation and esteem. The sociological basis for a brand’s valuation is as a trust mechanism. In cognitive terms, a brand serves as a heuristic frame. In popular culture, a brand is a story and a symbol. All add to a brand’s inherent value. Brand valuations are going through the roof because it is recognised more than ever before that a brand culture acts as a framework for consumption. The mental ‘metabolic rate’ required for branded consumption has become higher than ever before. Overloaded with information, in a 24/7 world, consumers have become ‘cognitive misers’. Consumers don’t merely buy brands, they ‘buy into brands’. Brand strength helps a business generate cash flows and sustainably grow profits over the longer term. I believe brand custodians should obsess about creating value not valuation. Nevertheless, this list has significance. Interbrand is used as an industry wide reference for brand valuation. The reported brand value factors in business performance, financial outcomes in terms of economic profit , role of brand in purchase decisions and loyalty criteria such as clarity, commitment, protection, responsiveness, authenticity, relevance ,differentiation, consistency, presence and understanding. 2020 is a historic turning point that will create an unprecedented shift in our way of living. We must see the brand valuation list with a microscope in one eye and a telescope in the other. Lives, businesses and brands have all been impacted and the world has changed forever. Many brands have benefited from the tailwinds, whereas for others it has been a devastating catastrophe. What can the Interbrand list tell us about the present and the future? Expectedly, ‘digital first’ brands came top of the list. The research period this year – 1 July 2019 to 30 June 2020 – covered the period of the pandemic related online surge. It’s not that Covid airdropped the world into the digital age. But, it accelerated to warp speed the lifestyle migration that was already happening. Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Google and Samsung are now the 5 most valuable brands in the world, in that order. The gains made by these brands dwarfs the others in the list of top 100 brands. The total value of the top 100 brands has actually gone up by 9% compared to last year. Leaving aside everything else in their business just the brand value is at a staggering $2 Trillion. A clutch of brands from allied industries like logistics, e-commerce, and payments have gained in value as they were positively brought to the fore due to the Covid disruption. One important trend deserves mention. It is about concentration of value. The ‘winner takes all’ phenomenon shows up. The top ten brands account for 50% of the total brand value of the top 100 this year. America leads the way with 7 out of the top 10 brands! In fact the 4 of the top 5 brands are from the United States. What’s mind boggling is that the top 3 brands make up for 30% of the total brand value of the top 100 brands ,up from 16% in 2010 ! On the other side of this crisis, Covid-19’s most enduring legacy will not be face masks, sanitizers or social distancing, but the end of permanence as a standard.  We shall now expect disruption as part of normality. Can brands give us strength and direction in a world that is truly volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous? With an aggregate value exceeding 2 trillion dollars, there can be no doubt that these power brands move the interconnected global economy. They will play a role in providing solutions to many problems faced by humanity. Brands will matter more in the future. It pains me to see that not even one of the top 100 brands is from India. Our talent leads many of these global brands and corporations but – as Indian brands – we are just not there. India cannot become a developed economy with underdeveloped brands. It should concern us all. It must become a national mission. https://www.forbesindia.com/blog/marketing-and-branding/how-important-is-a-brands-valuation/  

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The emerging consequences of Trump and Trump-ism

I have studied the American Presidency over many years to understand crowd psychology, brand building and communication. My research probes the historical evidence of what it takes to winning and holding that office. My perspective is that of a professional brand builder, storyteller and practitioner of communication. In particular, I have researched those who have occupied the office of the President since the 20th century and onwards. The list includes Teddy Roosevelt, John F. Kennedy, Lyndon Johnson, Dwight Eisenhower, Richard Nixon, Harry Truman, F.D.Roosevelt or the more recent Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush, Bill Clinton, George.W. Bush, Obama or Donald Trump. To my mind, linked to the outcome of the American Presidential election is the political future of the two political streams – Democratic liberalism versus ‘Trump style Republicanism’. I have studied political communication in every major election in India, US and the UK as a project in self-education. In this capacity, my take on the underlying moral quality of any political proposition does not matter. It is the positioning and the response that it gets from the electorate that I study. My position is that President Donald Trump‘s apparent failure in getting re-elected may well lead to the cementing of a ‘Trump conservatism’ in the right-wing politics of America. [siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Image_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget] Being at the apex of the power structure in the United States of America is a serious enterprise. The world looks for substance where substance matters. Issues, ideas and directional initiatives matter most and are vitally important to holding Presidential power. President Trump had several aberrations which were unlike those of a typical political player who ascends to this level. He was an outsider with uncharacteristic traits. He was clearly loath to follow democratic norms especially in tactical decision making and railed against institutions all kinds. He also fuelled mistrust against liberals and liberalism. Trump was – on the face of it – an attacker of the established elites and he ran his Presidency like a reality show. He had political smarts and could work a crowd. He knew how to draw and keep attention. However the tenacity and mindful application of a political strategy was always missing. From day one, his administration was forever in a flux. He was thin skinned and extremely reactive. He couldn’t build a team of effective high calibre Advisers. Unlike most establishments –The Bush, Clinton and Kennedy political establishments for example – he did not create any networks of patronage. So, what are the obvious things to watch out for in an elite presidential persona? The first is cynicism. Even in a polarised world people like their president to be on the solution side and not one who continuously and cynically repeats the problem statement. Much of what Trump did to get to power he could not deliver via committed policy. He did raise the China issue effectively but it was a case of too little too late. The second obvious learning is to avoid being erratic. This is seen in terms of the talent that you attract, the policies that you follow through and how transparent you are in discussing the operations and delivery. “If you are not with me you are my enemy” cannot be a healthy way to sustain momentum and build alliances. Finally the presidential brand suffers if the incumbent is arrogant, complaining and insultingly direct. A President can’t be seen as oscillating between being a whiner or a know it all. It devastates brand aura. What is likely to be the future of Trump style politics in America? Intelligent analysis by those who understand life in Washington tends to believe that the Republicans are happy to say goodbye to Trump but retain Trump-ism As a party, they have control of the Senate and a larger presence then normal in the Congress. They also have a well-conditioned and sympathetic Supreme Court thanks to the several nominations made. Therefore, the Republicans are likely to focus on putting a more solid political mainstream person in charge of Trumpism and hope to gain ground across states. Let us not forget that no Republican has won the popular vote in the Presidential elections since 2004. A good right-wing plan will be to build on Trump’s loss, and gain leverage on whatever political crisis the next administration is unable to battle. Trump may be gone but Trumpwism is here to stay and win in an environment of “Illiberal democracy “

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To be a President…

Every President of the United States has a place in history even though every individual President doesn’t make history. Every President reaches that office with effort, perseverance and demonstrated ability. Yet, not every President is great. I have studied the American presidency over many years to understand crowd psychology, brand building and communication since these are all part of winning and holding that office. My perspective is that of a brand builder, storyteller and student of communication. [siteorigin_widget class=”SiteOrigin_Widget_Image_Widget”][/siteorigin_widget] In particular, I have researched those who have occupied the office of the President from 20th century and onwards. The list includes Teddy Roosevelt, John F. Kennedy, Lyndon Johnson, Dwight Eisenhower, Richard Nixon, Harry Truman, F.D.Roosevelt or the more recent Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush, Bill Clinton, George.W. Bush, Obama or Donald Trump. Why? Because the US Presidency occupies a pre-eminent place in world affairs. In the US, no senator or Supreme Court Justice features on currency notes. Holidays are set aside only for great Presidents of the past. The only cachet in American public esteems is for the office of the President. I have been more alert to public perception than academic assessments. No expert is fully objective and no specialist is without bias. The American ‘liberal democratic’ mind set is credentialed but espouses a world view contrary to the one held by a larger percentage of US voters. Policy is different from process. Middle of the road policy cannot result in effective execution. Polls, surveys and focus groups cannot read the failure and frustration that an American president may feel. Huge energy is required to push any administration’s program towards achievement. That boldness is what propels an individual President into the gallery of the greats or the immortals. Judge a President on vision, operational abilities and gift of command. Each one has to leave an imprint on foreign affairs and economic policy. We must always ask what did they do for the safeguarding of human rights and liberty, proactive environmental action and protection of institutional space? Like every other power centre, Washington is an Olympics of ongoing political game. The game is glorious and uplifting but also aggravating and chaotic. It cannot be played using text book precepts. Moreover, old truisms have changed dramatically. There is a stunning transformation of the way the American system of government operates in a highly polarised environment. Be it congressional assertiveness, the power of staff and institutions, the rise of television and social media, the merchandising of candidates or the explosion of special interest politics. The demands of political fundraising and the marshalling of governing coalitions has led to a transformation. Power does not reside in the office of the President but flows to it readily if a skilful incumbent can tilt the balance towards himself. The rise of massive corporate power and the singular challenge from China have changed the game. New players and new game plans are throwing it wide open. It is harder to manage and manipulate. Being at the apex of the power structure in the United States of America is a serious enterprise. The world looks for substance where substance matters. Issues, ideas and directional initiatives matter most and are vitally important to holding Presidential power. Substance and stratagem are intertwined. It is a world which is moved by naked self-interest. It is a continuous contest, a scramble for power and influence. Nevertheless it is about the person. It is not a faceless power. So what are the watch out signs of a good choice? There are characteristics that voters can see while deciding amongst Presidential aspirants because they are predictive of which candidate may be more likely to succeed. These are traits that are shared by the most successful of Presidents with higher achievements. Firstly, one has to look out for a sense of purpose. Secondly broader life experiences and exposure to multiple occupations and life circumstances help a person go through the school of hard knocks and employ these lessons while running their administration. It is critical to possess a will to persevere and an ability to negotiate. The complexity of the world cannot be grasped by one man through learning in a political career of a few decades. Therefore, the ability to learn and be willingly tutored by specialists is very important. Organisational skill and self-discipline is required to be a man of all seasons. A President has to be an orchestrator of diverse institutions and lead via persuasion to be truly effective. Those who are loved, keep their egos in check. It is critical that there be enough humility to be able to surround oneself with experienced, knowledgeable, intellectually superior advisers. All great Presidents understood that they would ultimately receive the credit for the achievement of their subordinates and hence they went out of their way to find outstanding ones. Lastly, but above all, a well-developed sense of integrity is sine qua non. Whenever the heart and mind deviate from a sense of morality, disaster follows. http://businessworld.in/article/To-be-a-President-/16-11-2020-343058

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